Russian Economic Developments №7, 2016

Publication date
Tuesday, 26.07.2016

Authors
IEP composite author

Series
Russian Economy: Trends and Perspectives

Annotation

Macroeconomic forecast for 2016–2018: the economy is passing through the lowest point of the current crisis - Monetary policy of the Russian Central Bank: risks and limitations - There are no preconditions for the investment growth in Russia - Fixed capital investment in Q1 2016 - The Russian economy in expectation of growth - Oil sector: potential for tax incentives - Russian exports to the EU: a general decline with mixed trends - “Anti-turkish embargo”: who lost the most? - Trade restrictions hamper world trade growth - Population’s social sentiment, Q2 2016 - Brexit results: macroeconomic risks - Brexit and trade and economic relations between Russia and the UK - Post-brexit Britain: its relations with the EU and its future in the framework of multilateral institutions.

Contents

Macroeconomic forecast for 2016–2018: the economy is passing through the lowest point of the current crisis (V. Averkiev, S. Drobyshevsky, M. Turuntseva, M. Khromov) 2
Monetary policy of the Russian Central Bank: risks and limitations (A. Bozhechkova, A. Kiyutsevskaya, P. Trunin) 10
There are no preconditions for the investment growth in Russia (B. Taganov) 13
Fixed capital investment in Q1 2016 (O.Izryadnova) 20
The Russian economy in expectation of growth (S.Tsukhlo) 26
Oil sector: potential for tax incentives (Yu. Bobylev, O. Rasenko) 29
Russian exports to the EU: a general decline with mixed trends (A. Knobel, A. Firanchuk) 33
“Anti-turkish embargo”: who lost the most? (N. Shagaida) 36
Trade restrictions hamper world trade growth (N. Volovik) 43
Population’s social sentiment, Q2 2016 (E. Avraamova, D. Loginov) 47
Brexit results: macroeconomic risks (E. Goryunov, A. Kiyutsevskaya, P. Trunin) 51
Brexit and trade and economic relations between Russia and the UK (A. Knobel, A. Firanchuk) 54
Post-brexit Britain: its relations with the EU and its future in the framework of multilateral institutions (M. Larionova, A. Sakharov, A. Shelepov) 59

Notes

Full version
https://ideas.repec.org/s/gai/recdev.html

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