Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (December 2016)

Publication date
Monday, 24.04.2017

Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation

Annotation

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the ? rst half-year of 2017, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

Contents

Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indices 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indices 10
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indices 12
Employment and unemployment 12
Annex 14

Notes

Full version
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