Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name:Idrisov Georgy Author-Name-First: Georgy Author-Name-Last:Idrisov Author-Workplace-Name: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy Author-Name:Kaukin Andrey Author-Name-First: Andrey Author-Name-Last:Kaukin Author-Workplace-Name: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy Author-Name:Ponomarev Yuri Author-Name-First: Yuri Author-Name-Last:Ponomarev Author-Workplace-Name: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy Title: Industrial production dynamics in particular sectors of Russian industry Abstract: Russia’s real economy continued throughout 2015 to accommodate itself to new terms of trade and a new geopolitical context, both of which rendered the dynamics of domestic market’s key indicators less stable and less foreseeable. To make sure that sectoral dynamics are interpreted correctly, analysis of time series in the short term should be attended with seasonal and calendar adjustments. In order to be certain that the available dynamics of industrial production indicates that a period of downturn (or growth) is over, recovery (or slowdown) processes are afoot, monthly series should be decomposed into calendar, seasonal, irregular and trend components.[1] It is the changes of the trend component that should be analyzed in order to provide a substantial interpretation of sectoral trends. Classification-JEL: C53, E37, L21, L52 Keywords: Russian economy, Russian industry, industrial production Creation-Date: 2016 Revision-Date:2016 Publication-Status: Published in RUSSIAN ECONOMY IN 2015 TRENDS AND OUTLOOKS (ISSUE 37) Length: 10 pages File-URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/ppaper/ppaper-2016-253.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Function: Revised version, 2016 Handle: RePEc:gai:ppaper:ppaper-2016-253