Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 
Author-Name: Kaukin Andrei 
Author-Name-First: Andrei 
Author-Name-Last: Kaukin 
Author-Workplace-Name: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy 
Author-Name: Miller Evgenia 
Author-Name-First: Evgenia 
Author-Name-Last: Miller 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA 
Title: Sectoral dynamics of industrial production in 2022 
Abstract: In 2022, The trend component of the industrial production index exhibited growth, which was provided by both the extractive sector and the manufacturing industry. In the first case, owing to high prices and growth of external demand for energy resources. In the second case, due to the production of goods replacing foreign brands, which curtailed their activities on the Russian market after the launch of the SMO, as well as due to the growth of demand for intermediate products for the state defense order. For correct interpretation of the existing trends in separate sectors, it is necessary  to  decompose  their  output  into  components:  calendar,  seasonal, irregular and trend component;2 the interpretation of the latter is of substantial interest. The Gaidar Institute experts made seasonal adjustment of the series of indices of all the branches of industrial production for 2003—2022 and singled out the trend component3 on the basis of the current statistics published by Rosstat on the indices of production in industrial sectors of the economy. 
Classification-JEL: G19, G28 
Keywords: Russian economy, production, external and internal demand, GDP structure 
Creation-Date: 2023 
Revision-Date: 2023 
Length: 10 pages 
File-URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/ppaper/ppaper-2023-1283.pdf 
File-Format: application/pdf 
File-Function: Revised Version, 2023 
Handle: RePEc:gai:ppaper:ppaper-2023-1283