Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 
Author-Name: Makarentseva M. 
Author-Name-First: M. 
Author-Name-Last: Makarentseva 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA 
Author-Name: Mkrtchyan Nikita 
Author-Name-First: Nikita 
Author-Name-Last: Mkrtchyan 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA 
Author-Name: Florinskaya Yulia 
Author-Name-First: Yulia 
Author-Name-Last: Florinskaya 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA 
Author-Name: Khasanova Ramilya 
Author-Name-First: Ramilya 
Author-Name-Last: Khasanova 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA 
Title: Demography and migration processes in Russia in 2022 
Abstract: In 2022, natural population decline was equal to nearly 600,000 persons (599,600) or 4.1‰ (per mille) which is much below the level of a natural decline in the population in 2021 (1,042,700, 7.2‰) (Fig. 13). Such a decrease was feasible owing to the return of the mortality rate to the normal (non-pandemic) level. Experts  approached  the  beginning  of  2022  with  negative  expectations regarding the birth rate dynamics and the demographic situation as a whole. First, Russia is approaching the “bottom” as regards the number of women of the most active reproductive age (Fig. 14). With each year, a large generation of the late 1980s makes a smaller and smaller contribution to the current birth rate. All subsequent cohorts of women are substantially smaller in number. Second, as of the beginning of 2022 an upcoming decrease in the intensity of childbirth was mainly driven by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021 and the accompanying economic stagnation. Now we can say that the effect of the coronavirus pandemic on the birth rate has become inseparable in Russia from the effects of subsequent developments (the beginning of the special military operation, the sanctions regime and the economic crisis) since Autumn 2022. 
Classification-JEL: J11, J13, J61, J62 
Keywords: Russian economy, population decline, demographic trends, childbirth, migration, internal migration, temporary migration, long-term migration 
Creation-Date: 2023 
Revision-Date: 2023 
Length: 10 pages 
File-URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/ppaper/ppaper-2023-1295.pdf 
File-Format: application/pdf 
File-Function: Revised Version, 2023 
Handle: RePEc:gai:ppaper:ppaper-2023-1295