Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name:Alexander Knobel
Author-Name-First: Alexander                         
Author-Name-Last: Knobel 
Author-Workplace-Name: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Author-Name:Bekhan Chokaev
Author-Name-First: Bekhan                          
Author-Name-Last: Chokaev 
Author-Workplace-Name: RANEPA
Title: Possible Economic Outcomes of a Trade Agreement with the European Union
Abstract: This paper investigates the possible economic effects of Russia-EU free trade agreement, implying a mutual zero import tariffs in the trade of the Customs Union and the EU. Analysis of the effects is made using CGE Globe v1 model. We estimate the impact of an FTA on the economies, both at the level of the entire economy and at the industry level. The sensitivity analysis is made. It is shown that, in both relative and absolute terms, Russia potentially more benefits from the agreement than the EU. The cumulative gain of the CU is strictly positive, but the benefits and costs are unevenly distributed among its members, with negative effect for Belarus.
Length:  20 pages
Creation-Date: 2014
Revision-Date:   2014
Classification-JEL: C68, F15, F17
Keywords:    Customs Union, European Union, Free Trade Agreement, CGE
File-URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/wpaper/0107Knobel.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: Revised version, 2014
Handle: RePEc:gai:wpaper:0107