Международная конференция «Моделирование энергетики и окружающей среды»

Цель конференции состоит в продвижении и стимулировании обмена идеями в области построения энергетических моделей, и моделей проведения политики в области климата, окружающей среды.

Организаторами конференции являются: ЭкоМод Нетвок, Институт Экономики Переходного Периода, Академия Народного Хозяйства при Правительстве Российской Федерации.

Среди участников конференции – крупнейшие мировые исследовательские центры.

Основные темы конференции:

• Загрязнение воздуха
• Измерение климата, вопросы Киото и пост-Киото,
• Моделирование рынков электроэнергии, угля,
• Моделирование предложения нефти и газа,
• Моделирование транспортировки и распределения натурального газа,
• Моделирование спроса на энергию,
• Модели общего равновесия,
• Игровые теоретические модели,
• Исследования, инновации, технологические изменения,
• Интегрированные модели,
• и другие.

Загрузить все материалы по конференции

Thursday September 13th

08:30 – 09:00 Registration
09:00 – 09:15 Welcome and Opening Session
Sergey SINELNIKOV-MURYLEV, Vice Rector of ANE and Deputy Director of IET
Ali BAYAR, President of EcoMod
09:15 – 10:30 Plenary Session
Chair: Denise Eby KONAN
Truong TRUONG, Hiroshi HAMASAKI, Claudia KEMFERT
Nuclear Energy, CDM, and Climate Policy
Oleg LUGOVOY, Alexander GOLUB, Inna GRITSEVICH
Application of TIMES Model for Russian Post2012 Climate Policy Scenario
10:30 – 11:00 Refreshment Break
11:00 – 12:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Climate Change, Kyoto and Post-Kyoto Issues (Room A)
Chair: Ignacio PEREZ
Ana-Maria BOROMISA, Anamarija FARKAS, Sanja TISMA
Administrative Incentives for Alignment with Kyoto Protocol
Kenichi MATSUMOTO
Multi-Agent Model to Analyze CO2 Emissions Trading
Ignacio PEREZ, Karin HOLM-M"ULLER, Wolfgang BRITZ
Modelling a Trading Scheme for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from European Agriculture. A Comparative Analysis Based on Different Policy Options
Session B: Electricity Market Modeling (Room B)
Chair: Corinne CHATON
Per Bjarte SOLIBAKKE
Describing the Phelix Forward Electric-Power Market. A Stochastic Volatility Model Approach
Ahlem DAKHLAOUI
Dynamic Games in the Wholesale Electricity Market
Corinne CHATON, Marie-Laure GUILLERMINET, C'ecile BAZART
Optimal Design of Electricity Generation Industry under Deregulation and Support to Renewable Energies
Session C: General Equilibrium Modeling (Room C)
Chair: Makena COFFMAN
Daniela BACCHI BARTHOLOMEU, Luciana Torrezan SILVEIRA
Impacts of the National Biodiesel Program on the Brazilian Economy: an Application of the Minimal Model of General Equilibrium
Sergey PALTSEV, John REILLY
Long-Term Energy Scenarios for Asia
Makena COFFMAN, Denise Eby KONAN, Jian ZHANG
Holding Visitors Accountable: The Impact of Tourism on Global Climate Change
Session D: R&D and Technological Change (Room D)
Chair: Oleg LUGOVOY
Francesco RICCI
Resource Conservation and Directed R&D as Strategic Complements
Fatih KARANFIL, Bilge OZTURK
Energy saving technical progress: How about the Solow Model
Alexander GOLUB, Elena STRUKOVA, Oleg LUGOVOY
Real Option Analysis of Response to Climate Policy under Uncertain Endogenous and Exogenous Technological Progress
12:30 – 14:00 Lunch Break
14:00 – 15:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Climate Change, Kyoto and Post-Kyoto Issues (Room A)
Chair: Vera KONONOVA
Maria GARCIA-FLECHA, Nuria OSES-ERASO
Cost Sharing Rules and International Climate Policy
Kenichi MATSUMOTO
Analysis of International Emissions Trading System Applying Multi-Agent Model
Vera KONONOVA, Natalia CHURKINA
Firms' Adaptation to Climate Change: What Does a Hotter World Means for Business
Session B: Electricity Market Modeling (Room B)
Chair: Thure TRABER
Evgeniy POGREBNIAK, Derek BUNN
Simulated Energy Market Performance and Generator Solvency in Russian Wholesale Electricity Market under NOREM
Francesco GULLI, Liliya CHERNYAV’SKA
Modelling CO2 Price Pass-Through in Imperfectly Competitive Power Markets
Thure TRABER, Claudia KEMFERT
Future European Electricity Technologies under Emission Trading: The Potential Role of Fossil Fuels and Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS)
Session C: General Equilibrium Modeling (Room C)
Chair: Andreas L"OSCHEL
Olga DIUKANOVA
Alternative Options for the Design of Carbon Emissions
Marcel Z"URN, Robert K"USTER, Ingo ELLERSDORFER, Ulrich FAHL
R&D Investments and Knowledge Input in a Technology Oriented CGE Model
Andreas L"OSCHEL, Vincent M. OTTO
Technology Shocks and Directed Environmental Policy - The Case of CO2 Capture and Storage
Session D: Transportation Sector Modeling (Room D)
Chair: Graziano ABRATE
Luca RIGAMONTI, Pirani ALBERTO, Anna GAVIGLIO, Martina LICITRA PEDOL
Partial Utility of the Biofuels Use in the Public Transport
Pierrre KOPP, R'emy PRUD’HOMME
The Stockholm Toll : an Economic Evaluation
Graziano ABRATE, Massimiliano PIACENZA, Davide VANNONI
The Impact of Integrated Tariff Systems on Public Transport Demand: Evidence from Italy
15:30 – 16:00 Refreshment break
16:00 – 17:30 Parallel sessions
Session A: Energy Demand and Supply Modeling (Room A)
Chair: Denise Eby KONAN
Oscar DE-JUAN
A “Clakesh” AGE Model for Forecasting Energy Demand in Spain”
Stefan BOETERS
Autonomous Energy Efficiency Increases and the MAC in Long-Term Energy-Economy Scenarios
Oxana MAYOROVA
Forecasting of Demand and Supply for Fuel and Energy Resources on basis of balance modelling
Denise Eby KONAN, Jian ZHANG
China’s Energy Quest in Global Energy Market
Session B: Energy and Environmental Taxation (Room B)
Chair: Cristina MOHORA
Grant ALLAN, Peter McGREGOR, Kim SWALES, Karen TURNER
The UK Climate Change Levy and the Potential for Double-Dividend Effects under Different Labour Market Specifications: a Computable General Equilibrium Analysis for the United Kingdom
Laia PI'E DOLS, Maria LLOP LLOP
Economic Impact of Alternative Policy Measures Implemented on the Energy Activities of the Catalan Production System: an Input-output Analysis
Cristina MOHORA, Ali BAYAR, Fr'ed'eric DRAMAIS, Masudi OPESE
Regional Effects of Carbon Taxes in Belgium
Session C: Permits and Regulation (Room C)
Chair: Victoria UMANSKAYA
Ralf L"OSCHEL
Optimal Allocation of EU Emission Allowances under Imperfect Competition
Joshua Mathew ANUJ, Bouwe DIJKSTRA, Arijit MUKHERJEE
Environmental Regulation: An Incentive for Foreign Direct Investment
Victoria UMANSKAYA, Charles MASON, Edward BARBIER
Dynamic Game of Transboundary Pollution Regulation and Strategic Abatement
18:00 – 20:00 Welcome Reception

Friday, September 14th

09:00 – 10:30 Policy Panel
Andrey BELOUSOV, Ministry of Economic Development and Trade
Arkady DVORKOVICH, Ministry of Economic Development and Trade
Andrey GORKOV, RAO United Energy System
Vladimir MAU, Academy of National Economy of the Government of the Russian Federation
Lucio VINHAS DE SOUZA, European Commission
10:30 – 11:00 Refreshment break
11:00 – 12:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Developing Countries (Room A)
Chair: Hans KREMERS
Kenichi MATSUMOTO
Potential Role of Developing Countries on the Climate Change Policy from the Viewpoint of Participation -in the Concept of Multi-Agent Framework
Engin SORHUN
Oil Boom, Chewing-Gum, and Oil Fund
Hans KREMERS, Harold HOUBA
Bargaining for an Efficient and Fair Allocation of Emission Permits to Developing Countries
Session B: Energy and Macroeconomic Performance (Room B)
Chair: Lucio VINHAS DE SOUZA
Makena COFFMAN
Oil Price Shocks and Hawaii's Economy: an Analysis of the Oil Price-Macroeconomy Relationship
G"urkan KUMBAROGLU
The Costs of Mitigating Carbon Emissions in Turkey: Findings from the BU-MACRO Model
Lucio VINHAS DE SOUZA, Tatiana LYSENKO
The effects of energy price shocks on growth and macroeconomic stability in selected energy-importing CIS countries
Session C: Energy and Environmental Taxation (Room C)
Chair: Azusa OKAGAWA
Ronaldo SEROA DA MOTTA
Water Charges for Forest Protection in Brazil
Fatih KARANFIL, Bilge OZTURK
Optimal Enforcement Policy and Firm's Decisions on R&D and Emissions
Azusa OKAGAWA, Kanemi BAN
Evaluation of Carbon Abatement Policies with Assistance to Carbon Intensive Industries in Japan
Session D: Renewable Energy Modeling (Room D)
Chair: Bernhard HASCHE
Alexander KOLOVOS, George CHRISTAKOS
Stastical Tools in Renewable Energy Modeling: Physical Based, Non-Separable Spatiotemporal Covariance Models
Ulrike LEHR, Marlene KRATZAT
Renewable Energy and Employment in Germany
Bernhard HASCHE, R"udiger BARTH, Derk Jan SWIDER
Effects of Improved Wind Forecasts on Operational Costs in the German Electricity System
12:30 – 14:00 Lunch Break
14:00 – 15:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Miscellaneous (Room A)
Chair: Ronald RIPPLE
Matthias FISCHER, Christian K"OCK
Multivariate Copula Models at Work: Dependence Structure of Energie Prices
Aitor CIARRETA, Ainhoa ZARRAGA
Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Spain
Ronald RIPPLE, Imad A. MOOSA
Crude Oil Futures Price Volatility: the Effect of Maturity, Trading Volume, and Open Interest on Range-Based Volatility
Session B: Regional and Urban Modeling (Room B)
Chair: Lyubov KURKALOVA
Benoit LEFEVRE
Urban Transport Energetic Signature
Yuko MOTOKI, Hiroyuki KOSAKA
Local Energy Planning for Japanese Municipalities: Modeling and Comparison
Lyubov KURKALOVA, Catherine L. KLING
Responsiveness of Conservation Tillage Use to Changes in Energy Prices: Empirical Assessment for the Upper Mississippi River Basin
Session C: Energy and Environmental Taxation (Room C)
Chair: Maria de las Mercedes DE MIGUEL CABEZA
Jakob WINSTRAND
Hedonic Valuation of Health Risks Due to Residential Radon
Xavier PAUTREL
Environmental Policy, Health and Long-Run
Maria de las Mercedes DE MIGUEL CABEZA
The Use of Overlapping Economic Instruments in Carbon Emissions Regulation in a Small Economy
Session D: Transportation Sector Modeling (Room D)
Chair: Dominika KALINOWSKA
Daniela BACCHI BARTHOLOMEU, Jos'e Vicente CAIXETA FILHO
Quantifying of the Economic and Environmental Impacts Deriving from Brazilian’s Highways State of Conservation
Brant LIDDLE
Long-Run Relation among Motor Fuel Use, Vehicle Miles Traveled, Income, and Gas Price for the US
Dominika KALINOWSKA, Hans KREMERS, Truong TRUONG
An Assessment of Road-Pricing Measures on Household Travel Demand in Germany using a Computable General Equilibrium Framework
15:30 – 16:00 Refreshment break
16:00 – 17:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Developing Countries (Room A)
Chair: Fatih KARANFIL
Sajjad MUBIN, Uree Afanosovich GARIYAINOV
Risk Analysis and Modeling of Contruction and Operation of Oil and Gas Pipelines in Pakistan
Sushila KAUL
Bio-Economic Modelling of Climate Change on Crop Production in India
Fatih KARANFIL, Thomas JOBERT
Sectoral Energy Consumption by Source and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey
Session B: Energy Demand and Supply Modeling (Room B)
Chair: Abdul QAYYUM
Sergey SIVAEV, A. YU RODIONOV
Forecast of Energy Consumption in Housing Sector of Russia
Farshad NASROLLAHI
Effect of Architecture on Building Energy Demand in Cold Climates
Abdul QAYYUM, Muhammad Arshad KHAN
Energy Demand in Pakistan
Session C: Energy and Environmental Taxation (Room C)
Chair: Knud MUNK
Wiepke WISSEMA, Rob DELLINK
Analysis of Alternative Model Specifications in a CGE model for Carbon Tax Policy Analysis in Ireland
Keshab Raj BHATTARAI
Capital Accumulation, Growth and Redistribution: General Equilibrium Impacts of Energy and Pollution Taxes in UK
Knud MUNK
Administrative costs, public production and optimal taxation
Session D: Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Modeling (Room D)
Chair: Marina TSYGANKOVA
Laure DURAND-VIEL
Strategic Storage and Market Power in the Natural Gas Market
Irina SULEYMANOVA, Franz HUBERT
Strategic Investment in International Gas-Transport Systems: A Dynamic Analysis of the Hold-up Problem
Marina TSYGANKOVA
The Export of Russian Gas to Europe: Breaking Up the Monopoly of Gazprom
20:00 – 23:00 Gala Dinner