Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (August 2015)
Publication date
Wednesday, 28.10.2015
Authors
M.Turuntseva, E.Astafieva, M.Bayeva, A.Bozhechkova, A.Buzaev, T.Kiblitskaya, Yu.Ponomarev, A.Skrobotov
Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series
This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the period from September 2015 to February 2016, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years. A method of forecasting falls within the group of formal or statistical methods.
Contents
Introduction to All the Issues 2
Industrial Production and Retail Sales 5
Investments In Capital Assets 6
Foreign Trade Indices 6
Dynamics of Prices 9
Monetary Indices 11
International Reserves 12
Foreign Exchange Rates 13
The Living Standard Indices 13
Employment and Unemployment 14
Annex 16
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