Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (November 2015)

Publication date
Tuesday, 12.01.2016

Authors
M.Turuntseva, E.Astafieva, M.Bayeva, A.Bozhechkova, A.Buzaev, T.Kiblitskaya, Yu.Ponomarev, A.Skrobotov

Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Russian Economic Time Series

Annotation

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in the period from December 2015 to May 2016, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

Contents

Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Fixed capital investment 6
Foreign trade indices 6
Dynamics of prices 9
Monetary indices 11
International reserves 12
Foreign exchange rates 13
The living standard indices 13
Employment and unemployment 14
Annex 1 16
Annex 2 31

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