Russian Economic Developments №5, 2016

Publication date
Friday, 13.05.2016

Authors
IEP composite author

Series
Russian Economy: Trends and Perspectives

Annotation

Forecast 2016-2017: Russia’s economy to enter a stabilization zone - Foreign currency and Russian ruble: what does the balance of payments tell us? - Inflation: limits of slowdawn - Regions focus on reduction of expenses - Demand on foreign assets is falling, bank currency accounts are stable - Russian industry in q1 2016: the onset of stagnation? - Enterprises retain high propensity for adaptability - The way flows of food products changed in the wake of embargo - Foreign trade: trade balance down due to decline in export - Resources of migration growth have run dry - Privatization program for 2014-2016: formal shifts and uncertain prospects - The defense industry failed to underpin the national economy.

Contents

Forecast 2016-2017: Russia’s economy to enter a stabilization zone (V.Averkiev, S.Drobyshevsky, M.Turuntseva, M.Khromov) 2
Foreign currency and Russian ruble: what does the balance of payments tell us? (A.Bozhechkova, P. Trunin) 9
Inflation: limits of slowdawn (A.Bozhechkova, E.Goryunov, P.Trunin) 13
Regions focus on reduction of expenses (A.Deryugin) 16
Demand on foreign assets is falling, bank currency accounts are stable (M.Khromov) 20
Russian industry in q1 2016: the onset of stagnation? (A.Kaukin, G.Idrisov) 22
Enterprises retain high propensity for adaptability (S.Tsukhlo) 27
The way flows of food products changed in the wake of embargo (N.Shagaida, V.Uzun, E.Shishkina) 30
Foreign trade: trade balance down due to decline in export (A.Knobel, A.Firanchuk) 35
Resources of migration growth have run dry (Yu.Florinskaya, N.Mkrtchan) 38
Privatization program for 2014-2016: formal shifts and uncertain prospects (G.Malginov, A.Radygin) 43
The defense industry failed to underpin the national economy (V.Zatsepin) 51

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