Online Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 9(27) May 2016
Publication date
Thursday, 09.06.2016
Authors
IEP composite author
Series
Online monitoring
Main topics of the issue: Main trends and conclusions; Decomposition of GDP growth rates in 2016-2019: in expectation of structural changes; Tax maneuver: economic growth acceleration to the detriment of budget consolidation; Sentiments in industry in May 2016: not good enough but not particularly bad; Retail bank lending: debt burden is decreasing; Regional labor markets: unstable equilibrium.
Contents
Main trends and conclusions 3
1. Decomposition of GDP growth rates in 2016-2019: in expectation of structural changes (S.Drobyshevsky, M.Kazakova) 6
2. Tax maneuver: economic growth acceleration to the detriment of budget consolidation (G.Idrisov, A.Kaukin) 11
3. Sentiments in industry in May 2016: not good enough but not particularly bad (S.Tsukhlo) 15
4. Retail bank lending: debt burden is decreasing (M.Khromov) 19
5. Regional labor markets: unstable equilibrium (V.Lyashok) 21
Authors 25
Monitoring has been written by experts of Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (Gaidar Institute), Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and Russian Foreign Trade Academy of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia in partnership with the Association of Innovative Regions of Russia (AIRR).
Editorial board: Sergey Drobyshevsky, Pavel Kadochnikov, Vladimir Mau and Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev
Editor: Vladimir Gurevich.
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