Online Monitoring of Russia’s Economic Outlook No. 10(28) June 2016

Publication date
Tuesday, 28.06.2016

Authors
Gaidar Institute, RANEPA, RFTA composite author

Series
Online monitoring

Annotation

Main topics of the issue: Main trends and conclusions; Macroeconomic forecast for 2016-2018: the economy is passing through the lowest point of the current crisis; Monetary policy of the Russian Сentral Bank: risks and limitations; Oil sector: potential for tax incentives; Russian exports to the EU: a general decline with mixed trends; “Anti-Turkish embargo”: who lost the most?

Contents

MAIN TRENDS AND CONCLUSIONS 3
1. MACROECONOMIC FORECAST FOR 2016-2018: THE ECONOMY IS PASSING THROUGH THE LOWEST POINT OF THE CURRENT CRISIS (V. Averkiev, S. Drobyshevsky, M. Turuntseva, M. Khromov) 5
2. MONETARY POLICY OF THE RUSSIAN CENTRAL BANK: RISKS AND LIMITATIONS (A. Bozhechkova, A. Kiyutsevskaya, P. Trunin) 12
3. OIL SECTOR: POTENTIAL FOR TAX INCENTIVES (Yu. Bobylev, O. Rasenko) 15
4. RUSSIAN EXPORTS TO THE EU: A GENERAL DECLINE WITH MIXED TRENDS (А. Knobel, A. Firanchyuk) 19
5. “ANTI-TURKISH EMBARGO”: WHO LOST THE MOST? (N. Shagaida) 22
AUTHORS 29

Notes

Monitoring has been written by experts of Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (Gaidar Institute), Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and Russian Foreign Trade Academy of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia in partnership with the Association of Innovative Regions of Russia (AIRR).

Editorial board: Sergey Drobyshevsky, Pavel Kadochnikov, Vladimir Mau and Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev

Editor: Vladimir Gurevich.

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