Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (January 2018)

Publication date
Thursday, 21.06.2018

Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation

Annotation

This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in February–July of 2018, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few year.

Contents

Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indices 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indices 11
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 12
The living standard indixes 12
Employment and unemployment 13
Annex 14

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