Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (July 2019)
Publication date
Friday, 24.07.2020
Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov
Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation
This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in August of
2019 to January of 2020, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research
conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.
Contents
Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 4
Foreign trade indexes 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indexes 10
International reserves 11
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indexes 12
Employment and unemployment 12
Annex 14
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