Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (June 2019)
Publication date
Wednesday, 22.07.2020
Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov
Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation
This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in July to December
of 2019, which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted
by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.
Contents
Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 3
Foreign trade indexes 5
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indexes 10
International reserves 10
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indexes 11
Employment and unemployment 12
Annex 13
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