Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation (June 2020)

Publication date
Friday, 20.08.2021

Authors
M. Turuntseva, E. Astafieva, M. Bayeva, A. Bozhechkova, A. Buzaev, T. Kiblitskaya, Yu. Ponomarev, A. Skrobotov

Series
Model Calculations of Short-Term Forecasts of Social and Economic Indices of the Russian Federation

Annotation
This paper presents calculations of various economic indicators for the Russian Federation in July 2020 to December 20201 , which were performed using time series models developed as a result of research conducted by the Gaidar Institute over the past few years.

Contents
Introduction to all the issues 2
Industrial production and retail sales 5
Foreign trade indexes 8
Dynamics of prices 8
Monetary indexes 10
International reserves  11
Foreign exchange rates 11
The living standard indexes 12
Employment  and unemployment 13
Annex 14

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