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Will Establishment of the BRIC’s Bank for Development Result in Acceleration of Global Development?

21 july 2014

At the meeting in Durban, South Africa, the leaders of five developing countries – Brazil, Russia, India, China and the Republic of South Africa – declared about their decision to establish the New Bank for Development (NBD) whose goal would consist in financing of infrastructure projects of developing economies.

New US Sanctions May Have More Serious Consequences Than the Previous Ones

21 july 2014

The mode of new sanctions against Russia introduced this week by the US Treasury has a potential to produce a far more negative effect on the Russian economy as compared to those sanctions used by western partners before.

The Net Outflow of Capital from Russia in H1 Amounted to $74.4bn

15 july 2014

Both the estimate of the balance of payments in H1 2014 and the updated data for Q1 2014 permit to make the following conclusions as regards the state of financial operations of Russian residents with the outside world in 2014.

A new version of the draft CFCs law

11 july 2014

It was decided at a meeting held on June 18 by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev to ease the draft law on Controlled Foreign Corporations (CFCs). According to Kommersant newspaper, the Ministry of Finance prepared a letter to the Russian Government, prescribing new rules for CFCs which consider the requests of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs (RUIE) and the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia.

Favorable business environment as the key factor of economic growth in Russia

09 july 2014

The Ministry of Economic Development of Russia has recently announced that economic growth rates have accelerated fr om 0.9% to 1.2% on an annualized basis.

Updates to the federal budget in June 2014

04 july 2014

Federal Law of June 28, 2014 No. 201-FZ On Amendments to the Federal Law ‘On The Federal Budget for 2014 and the Planning Period of 2015 and 2016’, adopted by the State Duma on June 20, 2014, was published on July 3, 2014 on the Russian President’s website.

A 3% economic growth potential is lacking

04 july 2014

Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev presented during a meeting of the Russian Government a forecast for economic growth rates in Russia in the next three years. In 2015 economic growth rate is expected to reach up 2% y-o-y and then accelerate up to 3% and beyond by 2017, said the Prime Minister.

The conflict in Ukraine may trigger human capital outflow fr om Russia

03 july 2014

Russia’s involvement in the Ukrainian conflict has led to several main outcomes, among which boosting growth rates of capital outflow from the country.

Easing access to loans may boost inflation and defaults in repayment

03 july 2014

In her report at the 23rd International Banking Congress in St. Petersburg Chairwoman of the Bank of Russia Nabiullina E. S. paid a special emphasis to the objectives of the regulator’s current monetary policy.

Budget will be balanced at the expense of economic growth

02 july 2014

The Government Commission for Budget Projects will consider on July 2, 2014 a Draft Federal Budget for 2015 and the Planning Period of 2016 and 2017, taking account of the recent proposals of the Ministry of Finance Russia on reducing budget deficit by more than 0.5 p.p. of GDP (from 1 to 0.4% of GDP).

Introduction of sales tax would be extremely undesirable

02 july 2014

The idea of introduction of sales tax (ST) in Russia, which seemed to have finally reached back, is relevant again: the Russian Government is considering a possibility to entitle the constituent territories of the Russian Federation to introduce ST at a rate of up to 3% on their territory.

Any further trade barriers entail welfare losses for all parties concerned

01 july 2014

A document was signed on the 27th of June that made Moscow say it will rise import duties on goods from Ukraine, referring to the need for the protection of Russian manufacturers from a likely heavy inflow of Ukraine-made products and the risks of duty-free import of goods from the European Union via Ukraine.

Extension of maturities on loans to banks has no effect on liquidity

30 june 2014

On June 30, 2014, the Bank of Russia extended the maturity from 365 to 549 days for secured loans to banks as part of continuing operations. This policy is applicable to loans secured by non-market assets or guarantees, as well as gold-backed loans.

Refusal of Belarus and Kazakhstan was Predicted

30 june 2014

Belarus and Kazakhstan refused to support Russia's proposal to limit the import of Ukrainian goods to the entire territory of the Customs Union. Russia submitted for consideration by the Eurasian Economic Commission its proposal on a new regime of export for Ukrainian goods, but it was rejected.

On June 27, during the summit in Brussels Ukraine and the European Union signed the economic part of the agreement on association which provides for establishment of a free trade zone.

27 june 2014

In theory, Russia may increase the import duty rates on Ukraine goods from the preferential level (zero rates nearly on all the goods) to the most favorable treatment regime (MFT), that is, the level of duties on trade with countries which are not in the CIS free trade zone.

Downward Trend in Investment Demand Still Prevails

27 june 2014

In the first five months of 2014, a downward trend in investment demand prevailed: in May 2014 investments in capital assets amounted to 97.4% against May 2013, while in January-May 2014, to 96.2% against January-May 2013.